Original-Research: Knaus Tabbert AG (von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH): Kaufen
Original-Research: Knaus Tabbert AG - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Knaus Tabbert AG
Company Name: Knaus Tabbert AG
ISIN: DE000A2YN504
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 18.07.2024
Target price: €69
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Knaus Tabbert AG (ISIN: DE000A2YN504) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und senkt das Kursziel von EUR 86,00 auf EUR 69,00.
Zusammenfassung:
KTA senkte ihre Prognose für die EBITDA-Marge 2024 um 100 Basispunkte auf
7% - 8% (zuvor: 8% - 9%). Auch die Umsatzerlöse werden nun in einer Spanne
von €1,3 bis €1,4 Mrd. erwartet (zuvor: €1,4 bis €1,55 Mrd.). Wie wir vor
kurzem berichtet haben, haben die RV-Händler mit den höheren Zinsen zu
kämpfen und müssen ihre Lagerbestände reduzieren, um die höheren
Finanzierungskosten auszugleichen. Knaus plant nun eine Verlangsamung der
Produktion, um den Händlern Zeit zu geben, ihre Bestände abzubauen. Das
Unternehmen betonte außerdem, dass die Kundennachfrage weiterhin gut sei,
was sich in einem Anstieg der Zulassungen bei ihren Marken Knaus, Weinsberg
und Morelo um 12,7% widerspiegelt. Auch der Auftragseingang hat sich seit
der Vorstellung des Modelljahres 2025 solide entwickelt, und der
Auftragsbestand dürfte im zweiten Quartal rund €0,6 Mrd. betragen. Wir
haben unsere Schätzungen auf den mittleren Bereich der aktualisierten
Guidance gesenkt. Unser Kursziel beträgt jetzt €69 (vorher: €86). Wir
stufen KTA weiterhin mit einer Kaufempfehlung ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Knaus Tabbert AG (ISIN: DE000A2YN504). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his BUY rating and decreased the price target from EUR 86.00 to EUR 69.00.
Abstract:
KTA lowered its 2024 EBITDA margin guide by 100 basis points to 7% - 8%
(old: 8% - 9%). Revenue is now expected to range from €1.3bn to €1.4bn
(old: €1.4bn to €1.55bn). As we recently noted, dealerships have been
struggling with higher interest rates and need to reduce their inventories
to help offset the higher financing costs. Knaus now plans to slow down
production to allow dealers time to whittle down their stocks. The company
also reemphasised that customer demand remains good evidenced by the 12.7%
rise in registrations across its Knaus, Weinsberg, and Morelo brands.
Meanwhile, order intake momentum has also been solid since the 2025 model
year was unveiled, and the backlog should be around €0.6bn with Q2
reporting. We have lowered FBe to the mid-points of the updated guidance.
Our TP is now €69 (old: €86). We stick to our Buy rating.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/30243.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.
| The most important financial data at a glance | ||||||||
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | ||
| Sales1 | 728,01 | 780,39 | 794,59 | 862,62 | 1.049,52 | 1.441,02 | 1.300,00 | |
| EBITDA1,2 | 56,71 | 64,27 | 66,01 | 59,44 | 69,33 | 123,76 | 47,00 | |
| EBITDA-Margin3 | 7,79 | 8,24 | 8,31 | 6,89 | 6,61 | 8,59 | 3,62 | |
| EBIT1,4 | 43,22 | 45,87 | 46,56 | 38,39 | 45,47 | 95,41 | 16,00 | |
| EBIT-Margin5 | 5,94 | 5,88 | 5,86 | 4,45 | 4,33 | 6,62 | 1,23 | |
| Net Profit (Loss)1 | 28,62 | 31,17 | 31,33 | 25,90 | 29,62 | 60,32 | 7,00 | |
| Net-Margin6 | 3,93 | 3,99 | 3,94 | 3,00 | 2,82 | 4,19 | 0,54 | |
| Cashflow1,7 | 28,59 | 44,12 | 71,03 | 27,20 | 2,80 | 32,10 | 49,00 | |
| Earnings per share8 | 2,77 | 3,00 | 3,02 | 2,50 | 2,85 | 5,81 | -2,00 | |
| Dividend per share8 | 1,50 | 3,00 | 1,50 | 1,50 | 1,50 | 2,90 | 0,00 | |
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de
Auditor: KPMG
All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.
| INVESTOR-INFORMATION | ||||||
| ©boersengefluester.de | ||||||
| Knaus Tabbert | ||||||
| WKN | ISIN | Legal Type | Marketcap | IPO | Recommendation | Plus Code |
| A2YN50 | DE000A2YN504 | AG | 125,56 Mio € | 23.09.2020 | Halten | 8FWMPMMR+73 |
| PE 2025e | PE 10Y-Ø | BGFL-Ratio | Shiller-PE | PB | PCF | KUV |
| 26,89 | 15,61 | 1,72 | 5,20 | 0,77 | 3,91 | 0,09 |
|
Dividend '2022 in € |
Dividend '2023 in € |
Dividend '2024e in € |
Div.-Yield '2024e in % |
| 1,50 | 2,90 | 0,00 | 0,00% |
| Annual General Meeting | Q1-figures | Q2-figures | Q3-figures | Annual press conference |
| 21.06.2024 | 08.05.2024 | 08.08.2024 | 07.11.2024 | 28.03.2024 |
| Distance 60-days-line | Distance 200-days-line | Performance YtD | Performance 52 weeks | IPO |
| -40,99% | -63,13% | -74,26% | -72,87% | -79,14% |
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