Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE (von NuWays AG): BUY
Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu 123fahrschule SE
Unternehmen: 123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 06.12.2023
Kursziel: € 8,70
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Sound Q3 confirms positive momentum
123fahrschule published a sound set of Q3 results, showing continuous top-line growth and a significantly improved profitability. Here are the key takeaways:
Q3 sales increased by 23% yoy to € 5.2m (eNuW: € 5.1m) driven by a significantly increased number of overall driving lessons (+19% to 146k) as well as a strong performance of the Professional Driver Education segment. In detail: Sales of the company’s core segment Private Customers rose 18% yoy to € 4.0m (eNuW: € 4.3m) thanks to last year’s M&A activities as well as organic growth carried by improving utilization rates. Notably, Professional Drivers Education continues to gain traction with yoy topline growth of 114% to € 0.6m (eNuW: € 0.4m) after management significantly strengthened the respective salesforce, which is bearing fruit quicker than anticipated. Only the Driving Instructor Training segment fell slightly behind our estimates with sales down 12% yoy to € 0.4m (eNuW: € 0.5m).
Against this backdrop, the company provided a neutral Q3 EBITDA, which is a significant improvement compared to a negative € 2.0m in Q3’22. Mind you, that the FY EBITDA is still seen to turn negative (eNuW: € -0.7m) which is due to two main effects: (1) Seasonally weak December as students are generally reluctant to take driving lessons during Christmas. (2) Other OpEx are seasonally higher in Q4 based on the built up of provisions, especially vacation accruals, which are entirely built up at YE.
Still, from 2024e onwards, FY EBITDA looks set to turn positive driven by efficiency gains and economies of scale based on continuous strong oganic growth of 15% (eNuW). Thanks to its own driving instructor training centers, 123f is seen to cope well with the shortage of skilled workforce and thus continue to outperform the market. That said, the current budget crisis could have a negative impact on the awarding of education vouchers (eNuW: 70% of sales in Professional Driver Education & Driving Instructor Training segments), which implies some downside risk to our esimates.
Liquidity issue resolved. As flagged in our initiation, the company recently resolved a cash capital increase, raising gross proceeds of € 1.7m. With this, management eliminated liquidity as a risk factor as the company is now fully financed until FCF generation is seen to kick in in 2025e.
Shares continue to appear undervalued trading at 0.7x EV/Sales 2023e, especially after the recent weakness following the capital increase. Remains a BUY with an unchanged PT of € 8.70 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28489.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw. Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.
| The most important financial data at a glance | ||||||||
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | ||
| Sales1 | 1,40 | 3,90 | 4,27 | 7,76 | 16,67 | 20,61 | 0,00 | |
| EBITDA1,2 | -2,40 | -3,10 | -2,18 | -3,79 | -2,66 | -0,89 | 0,00 | |
| EBITDA-Margin3 | -171,43 | -79,49 | -51,05 | -48,84 | -15,96 | -4,32 | 0,00 | |
| EBIT1,4 | -2,60 | -3,30 | -2,86 | -5,74 | -5,63 | -4,31 | 0,00 | |
| EBIT-Margin5 | -185,71 | -84,62 | -66,98 | -73,97 | -33,77 | -20,91 | 0,00 | |
| Net Profit (Loss)1 | -2,04 | -2,89 | -1,99 | -4,48 | -4,38 | -3,91 | 0,00 | |
| Net-Margin6 | -145,71 | -74,10 | -46,60 | -57,73 | -26,28 | -18,97 | 0,00 | |
| Cashflow1,7 | -1,80 | -2,68 | 1,81 | -6,96 | -2,77 | 0,39 | 0,00 | |
| Earnings per share8 | -1,12 | -1,59 | -0,82 | -1,85 | -1,41 | -0,80 | -0,41 | |
| Dividend per share8 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | |
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de
Auditor: Morison Köln
All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.
| INVESTOR-INFORMATION | ||||||
| ©boersengefluester.de | ||||||
| 123fahrschule | ||||||
| WKN | ISIN | Legal Type | Marketcap | IPO | Recommendation | Plus Code |
| A2P4HL | DE000A2P4HL9 | SE | 13,78 Mio € | 14.10.2020 | Kaufen | 9F28WX69+F9 |
| PE 2025e | PE 10Y-Ø | BGFL-Ratio | Shiller-PE | PB | PCF | KUV |
| 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | -2,17 | 0,84 | 35,62 | 0,67 |
|
Dividend '2022 in € |
Dividend '2023 in € |
Dividend '2024e in € |
Div.-Yield '2024e in % |
| 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00% |
| Annual General Meeting | Q1-figures | Q2-figures | Q3-figures | Annual press conference |
| 06.05.2025 | 23.07.2024 | 06.11.2024 | 31.03.2025 |
| Distance 60-days-line | Distance 200-days-line | Performance YtD | Performance 52 weeks | IPO |
| -10,89% | -11,08% | +1,64% | +0,81% | +125,45% |
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