Westwing Group SE
ISIN: DE000A2N4H07
WKN: A2N4H0
09 August 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: Westwing Group SE (von NuWays AG): BUY

Westwing Group SE · ISIN: DE000A2N4H07 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 20413

Original-Research: Westwing Group SE - from NuWays AG

09.08.2024 / 09:01 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to Westwing Group SE

Company Name: Westwing Group SE
ISIN: DE000A2N4H07
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 09.08.2024
Target price: EUR 17.50
Last rating change:
Analyst: Mark Schüssler

Solid Q2'24 results // FY'24 guidance confirmed; chg.

Westwing released solid Q2 results and was able to continue the trend of yoy GMV growth witnessed in the recent  quarters (+5% yoy to €  114m in Q2). Q2 sales were slightly higher than expected and increased  by 4.1% yoy to €  106m (eNuW: €  104m), driven  by healthy growth in active customers (+2% yoy to 1.28m) and a surging basket size (+11% yoy to € 198). DACH grew 4.5%, while International remained flat yoy, implying continued market share gains amid a flat German online Home & Living market yoy.

At the same time, adj. EBITDA was below estimates at € 3.9m in Q2 (eNuW: € 5.7m), representing a margin of 3.7% (-0.7ppts yoy), as a result of elevated investments in brand awareness, which - although flagged in our last update - came in higher than expected. Having said that, Westwing's higher marketing ratio should be regarded as a net positive since it allows the company to increase share of mind with the consumer which eventually can be translated into a higher share of customer wallet once the macroeconomic picture improves.

Nonetheless, Westwing demonstrated a contribution margin expansion of +1.8ppts yoy to 30.6%, thanks to a favorable product mix (i.e. significantly higher private label share, +7ppts yoy to 53% of GMV in Q2), and reduced fulfilment expenses (-1.4ppts yoy) as a result of cost savings through consolidation in logistics. Working capital increased by € 7.7m but was once again negative at € -11m (Q1: €  -19m) due to payment-related timing effects in Q1 as well as the seasonal build-up of inventory, leading to Q2 FCF of € -7.3m (Q2'23 FCF: € 0.2m).

The company confirmed its FY24 guidance with sales growth  seen at 3%  to 4% yoy to €  415-445m (eNuW new: € 435; eNuW old: € 442m). Management continues to expect H2'24 sales to be weighed down by complexity reductions and strategic adjustments of the product offering in Spain and Italy (now completed) as well as Czech Republic, Poland, and Slovakia (to be implemented in H2), and the ongoing challenges in the general home & living market.

The adj. EBITDA outlook was reiterated at € 14m to € 24m, implying a 3-6% margin (eNuW new: €  18.5m; eNuW  old: €  23.7m). Considering €  10.2m adj. EBITDA in H1, the bottom-line guidance looks achievable, in our view, while FCF for the full year should likely be close to break-even (eNuW: € 0.3m) due to one-off restructuring costs (i.e. complexity reduction, SaaS transition) and normalizing inventory patterns.

All in all, the company impresses with (1) a clear vision and action plan for reviving and continuing its growth story, (2) management's longterm focus over short-term considerations, and (3) its cost-conscious and sensible capital allocation to the benefit of the brand. Considering the currently very undemanding valuation, we continue to like the stock and reiterate our BUY rating with a  changed PT of € 17.50 (old: € 18.00), based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30413.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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1964457  09.08.2024 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 253,90 267,30 432,90 522,50 430,80 428,60 440,00
EBITDA1,2 -12,30 -25,70 42,00 34,10 -9,40 11,40 15,00
EBITDA-Margin3 -4,84 -9,62 9,70 6,53 -2,18 2,66 3,41
EBIT1,4 -19,50 -34,20 31,40 21,10 -27,40 -8,40 -2,00
EBIT-Margin5 -7,68 -12,80 7,25 4,04 -6,36 -1,96 -0,46
Net Profit (Loss)1 -2,30 -39,00 29,80 12,00 -32,40 -12,40 -3,50
Net-Margin6 -0,91 -14,59 6,88 2,30 -7,52 -2,89 -0,80
Cashflow1,7 -9,50 -13,30 47,80 29,80 -10,20 33,30 0,00
Earnings per share8 -0,15 -1,85 1,38 0,55 -1,51 -0,61 -0,17
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Westwing Group
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A2N4H0 DE000A2N4H07 SE 150,51 Mio € 09.10.2018 - 8FWH5GPV+QM
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
55,38 32,13 1,72 -9,13 1,85 4,52 0,35
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
17.06.2025 08.05.2025 07.08.2025 07.11.2024 27.03.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-0,83%
7,20 €
ATH 54,35 €
-5,18% -7,68% -18,55% -17,34% -72,31%

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