Original-Research: MLP SE (von NuWays AG): BUY
Original-Research: MLP SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MLP SE
Unternehmen: MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 19.02.2024
Kursziel: 11.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Case fully intact despite PW; chg.
Topic: MLP released a profit warning and is now expecting an FY'23 EBIT of € 71m, thus missing the guidance of € 75-85m due to € 4m of goodwill impairments in the real estate business.
Below market expectations: Adjusting for the impairment, the guidance range should have been met at the lower end € 75m, indicating a € 5m miss vs our estimate of € 80m(eCons: € 77m). This shoud mainly stem from lower than expected sales in Q4, while the cost base should have remained unchangend.
Case remains fully intact for FY'24e and beyond: While the real estate business has been MLP's problem child, this impairment has been anticipated by the market, however at a smaller extent. Nevertheless, this does not impact our view on FY'24e, where we expect EBIT to reach € 90m (+27% yoy; eCons: € 88m), based on 1) no further downside from real estate, 2) a continuously strong banking business as well as 3) ongoing synergies across MLP's manifold segments while potential performance fees (not included in our estimates) could serve as a cherry on top. Moreover, management feels confident about their EBIT growth path, as they reaffirmed the mid-term guidance of € 100-110m of EBIT by FY'25e (eNuW: € 95m; eCons: € 96m).
FY'23 dividend announced: Given the non-cash relevenat impairment as well as the solid net cash position of € 2.26 per share (as of 9M'23) MLP announced to keep the dividend stable at € 0.30 per share (5.5% dividend yield), despite slightly lower EPS.
Attractive risk/reward profile: While the bad news should now remain tothe past, we look optimistically into FY'24e (see 8-pager from 25th January 2024). The risk/reward profile looks attractive and the stock seems to be downside protected by MLP's parts (FERI: € 5.12; net cash: € 2.27; MLP ex FERI: € 5.52; all per share), witnessed by the shares currently trade on the same level from before the profit warning. Moreover, valuation looks unjustified, given a 21% FCFY'24e, a 58% discount to its parts and historically low multiples albeit improvements in underlying profitability (see p. 2).
Hence, we confirm our BUY recommendation with an unchanged PT of € 11.00, based on FCFY'24e and SOTP.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28917.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw. Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.
| The most important financial data at a glance | ||||||||
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | ||
| Sales1 | 642,14 | 689,56 | 745,52 | 907,30 | 913,79 | 941,13 | 980,00 | |
| EBITDA1,2 | 62,35 | 73,48 | 87,05 | 127,20 | 110,62 | 106,54 | 128,00 | |
| EBITDA-Margin3 | 9,71 | 10,66 | 11,68 | 14,02 | 12,11 | 11,32 | 13,06 | |
| EBIT1,4 | 46,39 | 47,10 | 59,36 | 96,81 | 75,61 | 70,72 | 92,00 | |
| EBIT-Margin5 | 7,22 | 6,83 | 7,96 | 10,67 | 8,27 | 7,51 | 9,39 | |
| Net Profit (Loss)1 | 34,49 | 36,93 | 43,24 | 62,83 | 48,65 | 44,12 | 60,00 | |
| Net-Margin6 | 5,37 | 5,36 | 5,80 | 6,93 | 5,32 | 4,69 | 6,12 | |
| Cashflow1,7 | 141,24 | 191,60 | 408,08 | 546,35 | -292,45 | 116,67 | 140,00 | |
| Earnings per share8 | 0,32 | 0,34 | 0,40 | 0,57 | 0,47 | 0,44 | 0,61 | |
| Dividend per share8 | 0,20 | 0,21 | 0,23 | 0,30 | 0,30 | 0,30 | 0,30 | |
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de
Auditor: BDO
All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.
| INVESTOR-INFORMATION | ||||||
| ©boersengefluester.de | ||||||
| MLP | ||||||
| WKN | ISIN | Legal Type | Marketcap | IPO | Recommendation | Plus Code |
| 656990 | DE0006569908 | SE | 654,91 Mio € | 18.07.1990 | Kaufen | 8FXC7MWH+R8 |
| PE 2025e | PE 10Y-Ø | BGFL-Ratio | Shiller-PE | PB | PCF | KUV |
| 10,33 | 16,71 | 0,62 | 16,73 | 1,27 | 5,61 | 0,70 |
|
Dividend '2022 in € |
Dividend '2023 in € |
Dividend '2024e in € |
Div.-Yield '2024e in % |
| 0,30 | 0,30 | 0,30 | 5,01% |
| Annual General Meeting | Q1-figures | Q2-figures | Q3-figures | Annual press conference |
| 25.06.2025 | 15.05.2025 | 14.08.2025 | 14.11.2024 | 27.03.2025 |
| Distance 60-days-line | Distance 200-days-line | Performance YtD | Performance 52 weeks | IPO |
| +0,45% | +2,32% | +8,12% | +14,75% | +275,55% |
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