OHB SE
ISIN: DE0005936124
WKN: 593612
28 August 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: OHB SE (von NuWays AG): SELL

OHB SE · ISIN: DE0005936124 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 20647

Original-Research: OHB SE - from NuWays AG

28.08.2024 / 09:01 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to OHB SE

Company Name: OHB SE
ISIN: DE0005936124
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: SELL
from: 28.08.2024
Target price: EUR 44.00
Last rating change:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch

Deorbiting from Wall Street

Topic: KKR announced that all offer conditions are met and the transfer of shares for Sept. 6th.

Belgian FDI approval: Following Germany's FDI approval from May '24, Belgium has also given green light for KKR's takeover of OHB's free float. This was anticipated as early as Sept. '24 (see update from Aug. 8th) as Belgium's FDI authority has only started to look into the case after Germany. This was the last remaining offer condition that needed to be fulfilled before the long-stop date (Sept. 30th 2024) in order for the tender offer to go through.

Transfer of shares on Sept. 6th: According to the offer document, KKR will now pursue the transfer of shares against a € 44 per share cash settlement latest after 8 banking days (i.e., Sept. 9th), but plans to execute the transfer on Friday, Sept. 6th.

New shareholder structure post share transfer: Following the transfer, OHB will be controlled by the Fuchs Family (65.35%) and KKR (28.64%). Together they will thus hold 93.99% of shares. Excluding treasury shares (0.33%), that are not equipped with voting rights, Fuchs Family and KKR will thus make up 94.3% of voting rights, which is only 0.7% short of the squeeze-out (SO) threshold of 95% of voting rights. 

Filling the gap to 95%: We deem it likely, that KKR will acquire the missing 0.7% either from the remaining free float (4.91%) or from the special situation fund SYQUANT (0.78%) to overcome the SO threshold. As the free float shares are trading at low volumes, an OTC block trade seems more likely in our view.

Delisting and SO at once, but not in the short-term: Given that KKR and Fuchs Family have no time pressure to pursue the delisting, we expect them to wait for the SO threshold to  be reached before the final decision to delist, which will likely not fall before the next AGM in mid-2025.

Recommendation: The remaining free float shareholders should avoid the risk of owning an illiquid stock in the upcoming delisting for which a SO seems very likely. Therefore, we recommend to SELL at current levels (yesterdays closing price of € 45.90 above the € 44.00 offer price) while one still can

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30647.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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1976263  28.08.2024 CET/CEST

fncls.ssp?fn=show_t_gif&application_id=1976263&application_name=news&site_id=boersengefluester_html

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 976,55 1.004,62 880,32 905,00 944,52 1.047,80 1.250,00
EBITDA1,2 65,01 78,33 77,02 83,62 99,28 162,12 110,00
EBITDA-Margin3 6,66 7,80 8,75 9,24 10,51 15,47 8,80
EBIT1,4 47,75 49,11 41,63 47,02 63,20 125,02 82,00
EBIT-Margin5 4,89 4,89 4,73 5,20 6,69 11,93 6,56
Net Profit (Loss)1 28,39 25,63 19,74 27,75 32,23 85,88 43,00
Net-Margin6 2,91 2,55 2,24 3,07 3,41 8,20 3,44
Cashflow1,7 60,18 22,88 44,12 -17,35 9,12 -61,80 0,00
Earnings per share8 1,44 1,47 1,20 1,58 1,86 4,10 2,23
Dividend per share8 0,43 0,00 0,43 0,48 0,60 0,60 0,60
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
OHB
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
593612 DE0005936124 SE 910,79 Mio € 13.03.2001 Halten 9F5C4V24+7G
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
17,69 22,00 0,80 26,77 2,29 -14,74 0,87
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,60 0,60 0,60 1,27%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
27.05.2025 08.05.2025 07.08.2025 12.11.2024 20.03.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+0,21%
47,40 €
ATH 49,85 €
+3,29% +6,75% +11,79% +13,26% +351,43%

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