Verve Group SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
WKN: A3D3A1
22 September 2025 04:58PM

Original-Research: Verve Group SE (von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH): Kaufen

Verve Group SE · ISIN: SE0018538068 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 23580

Original-Research: Verve Group SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH

22.09.2025 / 16:58 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Verve Group SE

Company Name: Verve Group SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
 
Reason for the research: M&A
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 22.09.2025
Target price: €5,10
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin

First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Verve Group SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 4,80 auf EUR 5,10.

Zusammenfassung:
Verve hat den M&A-Hebel gezogen und nacheinander die acardo Group AG, einen in Deutschland ansässigen Anbieter von Lösungen für Shopper-Aktivierung und digitale Coupons, sowie Captify Technologies Ltd, eine Suchintelligenzplattform, übernommen. Die beiden Transaktionen verschaffen Verve einen guten Zugang zu Einzelhandelsnetzwerken (acardo), tragen zur Steigerung messbarer Ergebnisse für Demand-Side-Kunden bei (beide) und stärken die Vertriebsmannschaften von Verve in den USA und Europa (beide). Die kombinierten Transaktionen sollen auf normalisierter Pro-forma-Basis für das Gesamtjahr 2025E einen Umsatz von €56 Mio. und ein EBITDA von €11 Mio. beitragen, aber aufgrund der jeweiligen Abschlussdaten am 1. Oktober und 16. September bleiben die aktualisierten Kennzahlen innerhalb der Guidance für 2025. Die KPIs dürften nun jedoch mit den Beiträgen für das zweite Halbjahr 2025 über den Mittelwerten liegen: Wir haben unsere Prognose entsprechend angepasst, und unser DCF weist nun einen fairen Wert von €5,10 pro Aktie aus (zuvor: €4,80). Die Neuzugänge scheinen strategisch gut zum Mutterunternehmen Verve zu passen, und wir bekräftigen unsere Kaufempfehlung (Aufwärtspotenzial: 115%).

First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Verve Group SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 4.80 to EUR 5.10.

Abstract:
Verve has hit the M&A trail again with back-to-back acquisitions of acardo Group AG, a Germany-based provider of shopper activation and digital couponing solutions, and Captify Technologies Ltd, a search intelligence platform. The two deals give Verve good access to retail networks (acardo), help boost measurable outcomes for Demand Side clients (both), and strengthen Verve's US and European sales forces (both). The combined deals are set to contribute €56m in sales and €11m in EBITDA on a full-year normalised 2025E proforma basis, but the respective 1 October and 16 September closing dates mean that updated financials remain within 2025 guidance. However, the acquisitions' H2/25 contributions mean the KPIs should now land beyond the range midpoints. We have adjusted FBe accordingly, and our DCF model now points to fair value of €5.1 per share (old: €4.8). The newcomers appear a good strategic fit with the Verve mothership, and we reiterate our Buy rating (upside 115%).

Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.


 

You can download the research here: VRV_GR-2025-09-22_EN

Contact for questions:
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com


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2201688  22.09.2025 CET/CEST

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 83,89 140,22 252,17 324,44 321,98 437,01 497,00
EBITDA1,2 15,54 26,55 65,04 84,75 128,46 128,52 126,00
EBITDA-Margin3 18,52 18,94 25,79 26,12 39,90 29,41 25,35
EBIT1,4 5,00 11,04 36,80 26,62 99,00 90,28 71,00
EBIT-Margin5 5,96 7,87 14,59 8,21 30,75 20,66 14,29
Net Profit (Loss)1 1,25 2,71 16,06 -20,41 46,22 28,81 7,00
Net-Margin6 1,49 1,93 6,37 -6,29 14,36 6,59 1,41
Cashflow1,7 16,20 25,20 64,84 134,22 69,45 136,99 62,00
Earnings per share8 -0,01 0,03 0,11 -0,12 0,03 0,14 0,03
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Deloitte

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Verve Group
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A3D3A1 SE0018538068 SE 335,20 Mio € Kaufen 9FFW83PF+F9
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
11,96 31,44 0,38 29,91 0,70 2,45 0,77
Dividends
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024
in €
Dividend '2025e
in €
Div.-Yield '2025e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
11.06.2025 20.05.2026 19.08.2025 18.11.2025 07.04.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+0,60%
1,69 €
ATH 6,52 €
-19,53% -38,37% -46,42% -54,83% +45,26%

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