MHP Hotel AG
ISIN: DE000A3E5C24
WKN: A3E5C2
17 October 2025 09:00AM

Original-Research: MHP Hotel AG (von NuWays AG): BUY

MHP Hotel AG · ISIN: DE000A3E5C24 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 23742

Original-Research: MHP Hotel AG - from NuWays AG

17.10.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to MHP Hotel AG

Company Name: MHP Hotel AG
ISIN: DE000A3E5C24
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 17.10.2025
Target price: EUR 3.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Solid Q3; Conrad ramp-up sets stage for strong year-end

MHP delivered a solid Q3 performance, demonstrating the resilience of its premium positioning despite an exceptionally strong prior-year base marked by major one-off events such as the UEFA Euro and large concert series. Occupancy came in at 81% vs. 82% in Q3’24, while ADR slightly declined to € 228 (Q3’24: € 229), resulting in a RevPar of € 185 (Q3’24: € 189). Given last year’s unusually high demand levels, the near-stability in ADR and only marginal dip in occupancy clearly underline MHP’s sustained pricing power and strong demand fundamentals across its portfolio. Including the newly opened Conrad Hamburg, occupancy stood at 79% with an ADR of € 227 and RevPar of € 179, indicating that the new asset is already tracking close to group metrics despite being in its initial ramp-up phase.

On the revenue side, total hotel sales increased by 2% yoy to € 45.2m. While Logis revenue was slightly down by 1% due to timing effects as well as the mentioned tough comparable base, F&B once again outperformed with +11% yoy to € 8.8m, reflecting the continued success of MHP’s high-margin culinary concepts. The opening of the 283-room Conrad Hamburg in early September marks a strategic milestone, adding more than 10% capacity at group level and strengthening MHP’s footprint in the luxury segment. Early trading feedback appears promising and, together with the ongoing ramp-up of the Koenigshof in Munich, should drive operating leverage into the seasonally stronger H2.

On this basis, management confirmed the FY25 guidance of € 180m sales and € 15m EBITDA, which we view as well within reach. Based on the strong H1 and stable Q3 metrics, the implied H2 growth and margin profile (c. 11% sales growth and low-to-mid-teens EBITDA margin) appear realistic. Beyond operational momentum, MHP remains well positioned for portfolio expansion. Following the € 4.5m capital increase in July and access to additional credit lines, the company holds a “war chest” of more than € 10m. With peers in the economy and mid-scale segment still facing pressure, attractive takeover opportunities in prime locations persist. As our model does not include any portfolio additions beyond the Stuttgart project (opening 2028), any additional new opening would provide upside to our estimates. In addition, the company may further roll out its high-margin lifestyle brand MOOONS.

Overall, Q3 confirms the structural strength of MHP’s business model: high occupancy, sustained pricing power even against tough comps, growing F&B, and a new luxury flagship coming online ahead of a strong seasonal phase. We therefore reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged PT of € 3.00 based on DCF.



You can download the research here: mhp-hotel-ag-2025-10-17-update-en-8f139
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2214626  17.10.2025 CET/CEST

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 0,01 34,43 33,31 104,85 136,27 161,04 180,00
EBITDA1,2 -0,16 4,06 4,42 3,65 1,13 10,36 15,00
EBITDA-Margin3 -1.600,00 11,79 13,27 3,48 0,83 6,43 8,33
EBIT1,4 -0,16 3,53 3,32 -3,05 -6,04 1,96 7,50
EBIT-Margin5 -1.600,00 10,25 9,97 -2,91 -4,43 1,22 4,17
Net Profit (Loss)1 -0,16 -3,32 2,09 -7,25 -6,47 1,42 5,50
Net-Margin6 -1.600,00 -9,64 6,27 -6,92 -4,75 0,88 3,06
Cashflow1,7 -0,16 -0,17 4,60 -1,54 0,91 6,13 10,00
Earnings per share8 -0,04 -0,08 0,05 -0,17 -0,15 0,03 0,16
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: SDA Treuhand

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
MHP Hotel
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A3E5C2 DE000A3E5C24 AG 65,36 Mio € 06.08.2015 Kaufen 8FWH4HRF+WC
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
10,85 26,98 0,40 -15,84 1,35 10,66 0,41
Dividends
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024
in €
Dividend '2025e
in €
Div.-Yield '2025e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
30.07.2025 16.04.2025 22.09.2025 16.10.2025 12.06.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+0,00%
1,41 €
ATH 5,20 €
-2,69% -2,15% +14,63% +17,50% +0,00%

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