Cantourage Group SE
ISIN: DE000A3DSV01
WKN: A3DSV0
27 January 2025 09:01AM

Original-Research: Cantourage Group SE (von NuWays AG): Buy

Cantourage Group SE · ISIN: DE000A3DSV01 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21663

Original-Research: Cantourage Group SE - from NuWays AG

27.01.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to Cantourage Group SE

Company Name: Cantourage Group SE
ISIN: DE000A3DSV01
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 27.01.2025
Target price: EUR 12.50
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr

FY24 with explosive growth // new high(t)s in sight; PT Up

Topic: Following the regulatory changes in April, sales growth has been stellar throughout the remainder of FY24. Thanks to various de-bottlenecking measures and unbroken demand, Cantourage looks poised for new operational highs.

Based on preliminary figures, Cantourage ended FY24 with € 51.4m sales, a 118% yoy increase, beating the guidance that the company raised to € 46-50m at the beginning of December. The fourth quarter alone accounted for € 21.4m, 185% above previous year’s level of € 7.5 and only slightly less than to the whole year 2023. With € 8.5m sales, December beat the previous monthly high of € 7.5m. The strong sequential increases throughout the year were carried by successful de-bottlenecking efforts at processing sites and an increase of supplier depth.

Importantly, with a scaling top-line, we also expect Cantourage to have reached EBITDA profitability for the first time; eNuW: 7.5% margin. The expected gross margin of above 37% underpins the margin potential with growing sales volumes.

What to expect from FY25: In light of the favorable market dynamics, notably increased processing capacities (>14t annually), the Polish market entry at the end of last year and the relaunch of its own telemedicine platform, telecan°, strong growth is out of the question. We currently model a 67% yoy increase to roughly € 86m despite an FY run rate of slightly more than € 100m, based on the December sales figure to account for weaker summer months and a margin of safety. With this, the EBITDA margin is seen to further increase to 10%, in our view.

Threats from political uncertainties limited. As more conservative parties are likely to gain power in the upcoming election in Germany (end of Feb.), which have historically opposed a broader cannabis legalization, we see the potential of re-regulation on the recreational side, i.e. cannabis clubs and growing own plants. Importantly, Cantourage is only active in the medical space, we hence regard the risks to its business model as limited.

Taking into account the strong growth during recent years and the prospects stemming from growing patient numbers at its 'home-turf' Germany and the ongoing regional expansion, the current valuation seems undemanding at 6.3x EV/EBITDA FY25e. BUY with a new € 12.50 PT (old: € 12) based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31663.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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2074779  27.01.2025 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 0,00 0,53 5,22 14,16 23,56 51,40 0,00
EBITDA1,2 0,00 -0,56 -0,83 -2,51 -0,25 3,60 0,00
EBITDA-Margin3 0,00 -105,66 -15,90 -17,73 -1,06 7,00 0,00
EBIT1,4 0,00 -0,59 -0,97 -6,32 -4,33 -0,40 0,00
EBIT-Margin5 0,00 -111,32 -18,58 -44,63 -18,38 -0,78 0,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 0,00 -0,59 -0,97 -5,92 4,27 -0,05 0,00
Net-Margin6 0,00 -111,32 -18,58 -41,81 18,12 -0,10 0,00
Cashflow1,7 0,00 -0,56 -0,83 -2,11 -0,20 0,00 0,00
Earnings per share8 0,00 -0,05 -0,08 -0,47 -0,34 -0,01 0,09
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: PKF Wulf Gruppe

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Cantourage Group
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A3DSV0 DE000A3DSV01 SE 61,09 Mio € 11.11.2022 Kaufen 9F4MF9M4+93
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
12,89 0,00 0,00 -49,00 1,53 -74,05 2,59
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
25.06.2025 10.04.2025 09.07.2024 07.11.2024 06.06.2024
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+0,41%
4,90 €
ATH 40,50 €
+5,15% -1,90% -3,92% -39,88% -24,38%

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