123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
WKN: A2P4HL
01 October 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE (von NuWays AG): Kaufen

123fahrschule SE · ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 20969

Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE - from NuWays AG

01.10.2024 / 09:01 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to 123fahrschule SE

Company Name: 123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 01.10.2024
Target price: EUR 7.20
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Final H1 in line with prelims; Capital increase to fuel growth

Topic: 123fahrschule released its final H1 ’23 report, which was in line with the preliminary figures communicated in July. Further, the company announced the intention to resolve on another capital increase in order to facilitate the strategic expansion of the branch network. Here are the key takeaways:

H1 sales came in at € 11.1m (prelims: € 11.0m), implying a 5.9% yoy increase. The main revenue driver again was the private customer segment, which recorded sales of € 8.5m (eNuW: € 8.4m), up 6% yoy, on the base of increased registrations (+4.5%) as well as price increases. Notably, the driving instructor training segment grew sales by 22.6% to € 1.6m (eNuW: € 1.5m). On the other side, sales in the professional driver education segment showed a 14.6% yoy decline to € 1.0m (eNuW: € 1.3m).

Despite this, H1 EBITDA saw a slight decline, coming in at € 0.1m (vs € 0.2m in H1 ’23), which was however mainly due to a change in accounting, as the company is now building up provisions (i.e. vacation accruals) throughout the year instead of once a year in December. Adjusted for this, EBITDA amounted to € 0.5m.

Against this backdrop, management also provided an outlook for FY ‘24e, targeting clearly positive EBITDA (eNuW: € 0.4m). Next to the continuous expansions of the branch network, the newly acquired Forest GmbH (simulator provider) is seen to contribute to this and compensate for the seasonally weak Christmas period.

Moreover, the company announced last week the intention to resolve on another cash capital increase. In detail, management intends to issue up to 430k new shares at a price of € 2.30 per share in a private placement. The issue proceeds of around € 1m are to be used for expansion in Berlin, Hamburg and Cologne. Overall, management targets 20 new locations until FY ‘25e with an average revenue per location of € 500k, which shall all be equipped with simulators as well.

According to the pending regulation changes, learner drivers will in future be able to complete up to 10 lessons on a driving simulator, leading to significant scale effects as this increases the FTE per learner driver ratio. Through the acquisition of Foerst, 123f has also secured the sourcing of the simulators. Next to this, the company’s in-house instructor training (10% market share) grants a substantial competitive edge given the average age of instructor in Germany of c. 55 years. Unlike 123f, many competitors are going to face succession problems going forward, which should also open up the opportunity for some lucky-buys.

The stock remains a BUY with an unchanged PT of € 7.20 based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30969.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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1999065  01.10.2024 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 1,40 3,90 4,27 7,76 16,67 20,61 0,00
EBITDA1,2 -2,40 -3,10 -2,18 -3,79 -2,66 -0,89 0,00
EBITDA-Margin3 -171,43 -79,49 -51,05 -48,84 -15,96 -4,32 0,00
EBIT1,4 -2,60 -3,30 -2,86 -5,74 -5,63 -4,31 0,00
EBIT-Margin5 -185,71 -84,62 -66,98 -73,97 -33,77 -20,91 0,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 -2,04 -2,89 -1,99 -4,48 -4,38 -3,91 0,00
Net-Margin6 -145,71 -74,10 -46,60 -57,73 -26,28 -18,97 0,00
Cashflow1,7 -1,80 -2,68 1,81 -6,96 -2,77 0,39 0,00
Earnings per share8 -1,12 -1,59 -0,82 -1,85 -1,41 -0,80 -0,41
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Morison Köln

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
123fahrschule
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A2P4HL DE000A2P4HL9 SE 13,78 Mio € 14.10.2020 Kaufen 9F28WX69+F9
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
0,00 0,00 0,00 -2,17 0,84 35,62 0,67
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
06.05.2025 23.07.2024 06.11.2024 31.03.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-3,13%
2,48 €
ATH 17,60 €
-10,89% -11,08% +1,64% +0,81% +125,45%

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