123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
WKN: A2P4HL
22 October 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE (von NuWays AG): Buy

123fahrschule SE · ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21083

Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE - from NuWays AG

22.10.2024 / 09:01 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to 123fahrschule SE

Company Name: 123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 22.10.2024
Target price: EUR 7.20
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Legislation changes to fuel further growth

Yesterday, we held a digital roundtable with 123fahrschule, where CEO Boris Polenske outlined the implications of the recently announced amendments to the learner driver training in Germany. To remind you, last week, Germany’s Federal Ministry of Transport (BMDV) held an information event, where it provided comprehensive insights into the amendment of the learner driver training. The main highlights were the re-introduction of online theory as well as the use of driving simulators for up to 10 lessons. The changes are expected to come into effect in Q1’26e and are seen to significantly change and improve driving school training going forward. In detail:

Online Theory. Starting 2026, driving schools will be allowed to re-introduce online lectures, comprising up to 6 of the total 14 lectures. While this should save the time resources of driving instructors and hence increase efficiency, it will also have positive impacts on students. In fact, 123f plans to introduce two oneday seminars, comprising 8 lectures in presence in central locations. Afterwards, the theoretical training moves on to online courses, which will take place daily except for Sundays, offering students increased flexibility. Moreover, as students will have to attend only 2 days in presence, we expect an increased willingness to travel also longer distances of up to 30 minutes, thus increasing 123’s catchment area. In our view, this should enable 123f to significantly increase local market share.

Driving simulators. The BMDV also announced that driving simulators will be a part of the education going forward, as learner drivers will be allowed to complete their manual gearbox training on the simulator. This has several positive implications for 123f. (1) From 2026, 123f will no longer need switchgear vehicles, which alone should result in an annual EBIT effect of € 0.4m. (2) It compensates for the shortage of driving instructors. (3) As 30% of the practical training gets shifted to the simulator, driving instructors are able to drive more lessons per student and week. (4) Given the comparably low costs of operating a simulator, 123f will be able to achieve similar contribution margins while offering its product at a lower price than the competition, which should increase the market share of the company further, as smaller, local peers will not be able to equip their branches with simulators due to cost and space issues.

Overall, the information provided by the BMDV fully underpins our expectations and should further boost 123f’s top-line growth as well as margin expansion going forward. In light of the tailwinds, 123f remains a BUY with an unchanged PT of € 7.20 based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31083.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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2012985  22.10.2024 CET/CEST

fncls.ssp?fn=show_t_gif&application_id=2012985&application_name=news&site_id=boersengefluester_html

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 1,40 3,90 4,27 7,76 16,67 20,61 0,00
EBITDA1,2 -2,40 -3,10 -2,18 -3,79 -2,66 -0,89 0,00
EBITDA-Margin3 -171,43 -79,49 -51,05 -48,84 -15,96 -4,32 0,00
EBIT1,4 -2,60 -3,30 -2,86 -5,74 -5,63 -4,31 0,00
EBIT-Margin5 -185,71 -84,62 -66,98 -73,97 -33,77 -20,91 0,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 -2,04 -2,89 -1,99 -4,48 -4,38 -3,91 0,00
Net-Margin6 -145,71 -74,10 -46,60 -57,73 -26,28 -18,97 0,00
Cashflow1,7 -1,80 -2,68 1,81 -6,96 -2,77 0,39 0,00
Earnings per share8 -1,12 -1,59 -0,82 -1,85 -1,41 -0,80 -0,41
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Morison Köln

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
123fahrschule
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A2P4HL DE000A2P4HL9 SE 13,78 Mio € 14.10.2020 Kaufen 9F28WX69+F9
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
0,00 0,00 0,00 -2,17 0,84 35,62 0,67
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
06.05.2025 23.07.2024 06.11.2024 31.03.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-3,13%
2,48 €
ATH 17,60 €
-10,89% -11,08% +1,64% +0,81% +125,45%

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