R. Stahl AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5
WKN: A1PHBB
08 January 2025 09:02AM

Original-Research: R. Stahl AG (von NuWays AG): Buy

R. Stahl AG · ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21591

Original-Research: R. Stahl AG - from NuWays AG

08.01.2025 / 09:01 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to R. Stahl AG

Company Name: R. Stahl AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 08.01.2025
Target price: EUR 25.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr

Mixed FY25e outlook due to low order books

Topic: After a convincing FY24e, we see another solid year for R. Stahl ahead. However, due to a low order book and an uninspiring demand in Q3, sales and earnings could potentially be soft in H1’25e.

R. Stahl started with a solid order intake of € 181m (book-to-bill 1.04x) into the first half of FY24e before demand came down to € 74m in Q3 (book-to-bill 0.85x). A major reason is the still struggling European chemical industry where investments remain on a historically low level. In addition, larger decisions were delayed during the months before the presidential election in the US. Nevertheless, there should be a catch-up effect in Q4’24e and Q1’25e. Beyond that, president-elect Trump is expected to be a positive driver for the oil and gas industry.

While sales in Q3 still benefited from a sound backlog in the oil and gas industry in Americas, the order book has come down considerably to € 108m end of 9M’24 (vs. € 132m 9M’23). Consequently, we expect to see sales coming down for Q4’24e (eNuW: € 83m). Further, due to the lower visibility, H1’25e is now more dependent on new order intake in Q4’24 and H1’25e. For FY25e, we expect sales to slightly increase to € 355m, despite a potentially weaker H1.

We also expect the adj. EBITDA margin to improve slightly (eNuW: 10.8%), thanks to the EXcelerate strategy program. The implementation of the program created one-time costs of c. € 3.7m in 9M’24 (c. € 4.5m in total until 9M’24) and should amortize within 1-2 years as stated in the Q3 CC. On the other hand, pressure from wage inflation should persist throughout FY25e, although we expect the overall headcount to slightly decrease. Adj. EBITDA is seen to stay at a solid level of € 38m (eNuW).

Even though the upcoming quarters might be challenging, we continue to be optimistic in the mid- to long term. R. Stahl is not losing market share due to its positive brand recognition and it’s just a matter of time until the demand for R. Stahl’s explosion protection products recovers back.

We reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged PT of € 25 based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31591.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2063199  08.01.2025 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e 2025e
Sales1 274,78 246,59 248,11 274,34 330,56 343,00 0,00
EBITDA1,2 25,27 17,18 16,82 20,59 36,64 42,85 0,00
EBITDA-Margin3 9,20 6,97 6,78 7,51 11,08 12,49 0,00
EBIT1,4 6,34 0,49 -0,06 3,85 19,12 24,85 0,00
EBIT-Margin5 2,31 0,20 -0,02 1,40 5,78 7,25 0,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 1,35 -3,53 -4,93 1,93 0,18 11,85 0,00
Net-Margin6 0,49 -1,43 -1,99 0,70 0,05 3,46 0,00
Cashflow1,7 19,62 17,86 11,86 5,99 14,22 15,40 0,00
Earnings per share8 0,21 -0,54 -0,76 0,30 0,03 1,85 2,37
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: BDO

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
R. Stahl
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A1PHBB DE000A1PHBB5 AG 112,06 Mio € 21.07.1997 Kaufen 8FXF6M37+44
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
6,82 25,94 0,26 -65,17 1,66 7,88 0,34
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
03.06.2025 06.05.2025 07.08.2025 06.11.2024 10.04.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+4,19%
17,40 €
ATH 48,21 €
-0,64% -8,96% +6,75% -17,92% -2,79%

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