Deutsche Rohstoff AG
ISIN: DE000A0XYG76
WKN: A0XYG7
02 August 2024 12:31PM

Original-Research: Deutsche Rohstoff AG (von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH): Buy

Deutsche Rohstoff AG · ISIN: DE000A0XYG76 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 20355

Original-Research: Deutsche Rohstoff AG - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH

02.08.2024 / 12:31 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Deutsche Rohstoff AG

Company Name: Deutsche Rohstoff AG
ISIN: DE000A0XYG76
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 02.08.2024
Target price: €51
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change: 02.08.24 (previously: Add)
Analyst: Simon Scholes

First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Deutsche Rohstoff AG (ISIN: DE000A0XYG76). Analyst Simon Scholes upgraded the stock to BUY and maintained his EUR 51.00 price target.

Abstract:
H1/24 production jumped ca. 41% to ca. 14,800 boepd (H1/23: 10,533 boepd). The rise in output was due to new wells coming on stream at better than expected production rates. We estimate that DRAG's subsidiaries brought 21 net new 2-mile-lateral wells on line between May 2023 and end-June 2024. DRAG has maintained its FY/24 guidance of 14,700-15,700 boepd, the midpoint of which equates to a 19.1% increase on last year's figure of 12,762 boepd. 2024 sales and EBITDA guidance of €210m-€230m and €160m-€180m respectively is also unchanged. On the basis of current commodity strips, which are little changed on our most recent update of 8 May, we continue to believe that DRAG is capable of sustaining revenue at around €200m in the mid-term, while reducing net gearing. Our price target of €51 is unchanged, but we have raised the recommendation from Add to Buy because the upside to our price target is now over 25%. Comprehensive H1/24 results are scheduled for mid-August.

First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Deutsche Rohstoff AG (ISIN: DE000A0XYG76) veröffentlicht. Analyst Simon Scholes stuft die Aktie auf BUY herauf und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 51,00.

Zusammenfassung:
H1/24 stieg die Produktion um ca. 41% auf ca. 14.800 boepd (H1/23: 10.533 boepd). Der Produktionsanstieg ist auf die Inbetriebnahme neuer Bohrungen zurückzuführen, deren Förderraten die Erwartungen übertrafen. Wir schätzen, dass die Tochtergesellschaften der DRAG zwischen Mai 2023 und Ende Juni 2024 netto 21 neue 2-Meilen-Bohrungen in Betrieb genommen haben. Die DRAG hat ihre Prognose für das Geschäftsjahr 2024 von 14.700 bis 15.700 boepd beibehalten, was einer Steigerung von 19,1 % gegenüber dem Vorjahreswert von 12.762 boepd entspricht. Die Umsatz- und EBITDA-Prognose für 2024 von €210 Mio. bis €230 Mio. bzw. €160 Mio. bis €180 Mio. bleibt ebenfalls unverändert. Auf der Grundlage der aktuellen Rohstoffpreise, die sich gegenüber unserer letzten Aktualisierung vom 8. Mai kaum verändert haben, sind wir weiterhin der Ansicht, dass die DRAG in der Lage ist, mittelfristig einen Umsatz von rund €200 Mio. zu erzielen und gleichzeitig den Verschuldungsgrad zu senken. Unser Kursziel von €51 bleibt unverändert, aber wir haben die Empfehlung von Hinzufügen auf Kaufen hochgestuft, da das Aufwärtspotenzial gegenüber unserem Kursziel nun über 25 % beträgt. Endgültige Ergebnisse für H1/24 werden für Mitte August erwartet.

Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.



 

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30355.pdf

Contact for questions:
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com


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1960185  02.08.2024 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 109,05 41,20 38,68 73,32 165,44 196,66 225,00
EBITDA1,2 97,93 22,72 23,90 66,06 139,09 158,26 170,00
EBITDA-Margin3 89,80 55,15 61,79 90,10 84,07 80,47 75,56
EBIT1,4 32,70 5,63 -16,10 32,59 91,43 95,00 117,00
EBIT-Margin5 29,99 13,67 -41,62 44,45 55,27 48,31 52,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 17,95 0,19 -16,10 26,36 66,19 67,48 55,00
Net-Margin6 16,46 0,46 -41,62 35,95 40,01 34,31 24,44
Cashflow1,7 68,67 34,93 13,99 51,82 142,73 139,26 0,00
Earnings per share8 3,54 0,04 -3,17 5,00 12,15 13,02 9,85
Dividend per share8 0,70 0,10 0,00 0,60 1,30 1,75 1,75
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Falk

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Deutsche Rohstoff
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A0XYG7 DE000A0XYG76 AG 159,60 Mio € 27.05.2010 Kaufen 8FXCFFPF+CC
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
4,14 4,84 0,86 7,11 0,83 1,15 0,81
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
1,30 1,75 1,75 5,49%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
18.06.2024 13.05.2024 15.08.2024 04.11.2024 23.04.2024
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-1,54%
31,90 €
ATH 45,10 €
-6,20% -13,56% -1,69% -3,19% +219,00%

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