NFON AG
ISIN: DE000A0N4N52
WKN: A0N4N5
23 May 2025 09:00AM

Original-Research: NFON AG (von NuWays AG): BUY

NFON AG · ISIN: DE000A0N4N52 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 22708

Original-Research: NFON AG - from NuWays AG

23.05.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to NFON AG

Company Name: NFON AG
ISIN: DE000A0N4N52
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 23.05.2025
Target price: EUR 12.30
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

More to come after solid start into the year; chg.

Q1’25 sales increased by 4.0% yoy to € 22.1m (eNuW: € 22.4m), of which € 20.8m were of recurring nature, implying a 94.0% recurring revenue ratio. Main driver of the increasing top-line was botario, which was acquired at the end of Q3’24. With € 0.8m sales in Q1 (+52% yoy), botario explained about 90% of Q1 growth, thus implying organic growth of only 0.4%. The reasons for the flattish organic sales development are as follows. (1) As planned, non-recurring (especially hardware) sales further decreased by 0.9% yoy to € 1.3m. (2) The migration of DTS clients to the NFON platform was binding resources at partners, that could not be used for seat growth. The good thing is, that 40% of clients were already migrated in the first quarter and the remaining 60% are expected to be so until YE.

Improving ARPU. For the first time since Covid, NFON achieved a Q1 blended ARPU of above € 10 with € 10.02, clearly reflecting the increasing focus on premium solutions, which is seen to drive ARPU and thus margins further going forward.

Despite an improved gross margin (+1.9pp to 86%), adj. EBITDA slightly decreased yoy to € 2.6m (Q1:24: € 2.8m), implying a margin of 11.8%. Main reason for the decline were planned investments in personnel and other OpEx related to AI initiatives. Nevertheless, NFON was able to improve FCF significantly from € 0.2m in Q1’24 to € 1.1m on the back of favorable WC swings.

Guidance confirmed. After a solid start to the year, management confirmed the FY25 guidance of 8-10% sales growth and € 13.5-15.5m adj. EBITDA. Reaching the mid-point would require 10.6% sales growth on average in the coming quarters as well as a 16.3% adj. EBITDA margin. Despite the, top-line wise, slow start this looks absolutely achievable in our view, as (1) the DTS migration is proceeding well, which should already become visible in Q2, (2) lead-times in the core business are already normalizing (3) strategic price increases starting in May as well as new AI products (e.g. voicemail transcription, NIA) gaining traction. Moreover, the tune of quarterly investments into AI and personnel should normalize, thus benefitting margins.

We keep our conviction in the case, which has the potential to become one of the key-players in AI supported communication services, backed by a strong core business. We hence reiterate BUY with a € 12.30 PT and keep the stock in our NuWays Alpha List.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/32708.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2144074  23.05.2025 CET/CEST

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 57,12 67,60 75,89 80,79 82,34 87,34 89,00
EBITDA1,2 -6,98 2,32 -2,03 -5,27 6,80 10,83 10,80
EBITDA-Margin3 -12,22 3,43 -2,68 -6,52 8,26 12,40 12,14
EBIT1,4 -9,99 -1,83 -8,97 -12,03 -0,52 2,66 3,25
EBIT-Margin5 -17,49 -2,71 -11,82 -14,89 -0,63 3,05 3,65
Net Profit (Loss)1 -10,92 -2,24 -8,91 -15,58 -0,80 0,71 2,30
Net-Margin6 -19,12 -3,31 -11,74 -19,29 -0,97 0,81 2,58
Cashflow1,7 -7,19 1,15 -1,76 -3,87 6,84 9,41 8,60
Earnings per share8 -0,77 -0,15 -0,54 -0,94 -0,05 0,04 0,15
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: KPMG

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
NFON
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A0N4N5 DE000A0N4N52 AG 71,21 Mio € 11.05.2018 Kaufen 8FWH4G3G+8X
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
12,65 28,67 0,44 -13,03 1,44 7,57 0,82
Dividends
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024
in €
Dividend '2025e
in €
Div.-Yield '2025e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
24.06.2026 21.05.2026 20.08.2026 20.11.2025 16.04.2026
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-5,58%
4,06 €
ATH 22,90 €
-22,86% -32,33% -16,80% -21,92% -66,17%

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