bet-at-home AG
ISIN: DE000A0DNAY5
WKN: A0DNAY
05 August 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: bet-at-home AG (von NuWays AG): BUY

bet-at-home AG · ISIN: DE000A0DNAY5 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 20363

Original-Research: bet-at-home AG - from NuWays AG

05.08.2024 / 09:01 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to bet-at-home AG

Company Name: bet-at-home AG
ISIN: DE000A0DNAY5
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 05.08.2024
Target price: EUR 5.50
Last rating change:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow

Sound Q2 prelims above estimates

Topic:
Last week bet-at-home reported a strong set of preliminary Q2 figures above our estimates on both, top and bottom line. In detail:

Sales came in at € 13.7m (17% qoq, 25% yoy), significantly above our estimates of € 12.7m (eNuW), mainly driven by tailwinds from the UEFA EURO championship as well as higher marketing spending between Q3´23 and Q2´24, that prepared the UEFA EURO championship on the one hand, but also supported the general new customer acquisition and reactivation of existing, but inactive customers.

EBITDA before special items of € 1.0m was below previous year´s figure of € 4.3m but above Q1 (€ 0.2m) and our estimates (eNuW: € 0.3m). Key drivers were lower than anticipated personnel expenses (€ 2.2m vs eNuW: € 2.3m), marketing expenses (€ 5.8m vs eNuW: € 6.1m) and lower other operating expenses of € 2.5m (vs eNuW: € 3.0m).

With Q2 in the books, bet-at-home seems fully on track to reach the upper end of its FY24 guidance of € 45-53m in sales and € -1m to € 2.5m in EBITDA before special items. Despite the fact, that we expect further positive effects from the UEFA EURO championship and the high marketing spendings of the last quarters that should fuel topline in Q3 and Q4, paired with stable OPEX, our estimates remained unchanged for now at € 49.8m in sales and € 1.4m in EBITDA before special items.

More tailwinds should come from a potential positive ECJ ruling, after the Federal Court of Justice in Germany has recently appealed the European Court of Justice in a legal dispute over the reimbursement of losses between 2013-18 from unauthorized sports betting. With a likely ruling of the ECJ in favor of the betting providers, the current customer claims against bet-at-home and – even more importantly – the looming risks of new customer claims would be off the table, together with related lifted legal costs.As a result, risks and legal costs would normalize again, and provisions released. All that would bode well for (reported) EBITDA. Mind you that we have not yet modeled in potential positive effects from the expected ruling of the ECJ, as it is still uncertain.

As the operating performance of bet-at-home is developing nicely and all sources of risks, that burdened the case for a long time, are seen to vanish, we reiterate BUY with an unchanged (but conservative) PT of € 5.50 based on FCFY´25e

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30363.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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1960457  05.08.2024 CET/CEST

fncls.ssp?fn=show_t_gif&application_id=1960457&application_name=news&site_id=boersengefluester_html

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 143,35 143,29 126,93 59,35 53,53 46,18 48,00
EBITDA1,2 36,22 35,17 30,95 13,97 2,11 0,81 1,50
EBITDA-Margin3 25,27 24,55 24,38 23,54 3,94 1,75 3,13
EBIT1,4 34,95 33,24 28,92 11,67 -0,11 -0,84 -0,10
EBIT-Margin5 24,38 23,20 22,78 19,66 -0,21 -1,82 -0,21
Net Profit (Loss)1 32,61 17,96 23,29 -16,31 11,91 -1,51 -0,60
Net-Margin6 22,75 12,53 18,35 -27,48 22,25 -3,27 -1,25
Cashflow1,7 24,81 29,88 18,15 10,50 -5,02 0,16 0,00
Earnings per share8 4,65 2,56 3,32 -2,32 1,62 -0,21 -0,09
Dividend per share8 6,50 2,00 2,50 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: PKF Fasselt Schlage

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
bet-at-home.com
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
A0DNAY DE000A0DNAY5 AG 17,48 Mio € 23.05.2005 Kaufen 9F387Q37+87
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
19,15 13,54 1,41 1,16 0,64 109,90 0,38
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
16.07.2024 14.05.2024 23.09.2024 06.11.2024 08.04.2024
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-1,19%
2,49 €
ATH 150,30 €
-11,95% -15,51% -18,89% -18,36% -28,86%

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