Original-Research: MLP SE (von NuWays AG): Buy
Original-Research: MLP SE - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to MLP SE
Q3 in line, guidance at top end or above achievable Q3 sales increased by 19% yoy to € 245m (eNuW: € 242m; 9M: € 746m, +12% yoy), driven by a € 17m sales effect of performance fees (vs. Q3’23: € 0.1m) but also a solid underlying development (sales ex performance +11% yoy). The competence field Wealth drove sales by 36% yoy to € 140m (eNuW: € 128m; € 123m sales ex performance fees, up 19% yoy), whereas Life & Health sales also increased by 2% yoy to € 68m (eNuW: € 70m) followed by P&C sales of € 35m, up 2% yoy (eNuW: € 35m). Noteworthy, the RE business saw a two-faced development, where RE brokerage rose by 191% yoy and 17% qoq to € 10m (eNuW: € 8m) but RE development remained nonexistent at € 0m sales (eNuW: € 1m). EBIT expanded sharply by 128% yoy to € 17.8m (eNuW: € 18.2m), benefiting from a € 11m performance fee EBIT contribution (eNuW; c. 65% incremental margin). On the other hand, underlying profitability (EBIT ex perf. fee effect) decreased by 13% yoy due to higher OPEX (+15% yoy). Guidance confirmed: FY’24 guidance (EBIT: € 85-95m) confirmed: Based on a € 66m EBIT per 9M, the guidance implies a Q4 EBIT in the range of € 19-29m (eNuW: € 28m, not including significant performance fees). This also compares well to previous periods’ EBIT of € 23m (Q4'22, no perf. fees) and € 25m (Q4'23, no perf. fees), which were both burdened by goodwill impairments in the RE segment (€ 3m in Q4'22; € 4m in Q4'23). Consequently, we are positioned at the top end of the guidance (eNuW: € 95m). Moreover, should capital markets continue to perform well until Y/E'24e, performance fees could be in the cards and the guidance could be overachieved. For next year, MLP's midterm targets (EBIT € 100-110m; eNuW: € 102m) will become the FY'25e guidance and new mid-term targets are to be published with FY'24 results in March '25. Dividend increase after 3 years likely: Based on MLP's targeted pay-out ratio of 50-70% (eNuW: 60%) and EPS estimate of € 0.64, the FY'24e dividend should amount to € 0.36 per share, implying a 20% yoy increase and a current yield of 6%. Mind you, that the dividend is tax free according to § 27 KStG. All in all, MLP remains fully on track to achieve this and next year's targets this year and should continue to show improvements going forward thanks to its well diversified business model with a large share of recurring revenues. Therefore, we keep MLP in our NuWays' Alpha List and reiterate our BUY recommendation with unchanged PT of € 12.00, based on FCFY'24e. You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31331.pdf For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++
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2030719 15.11.2024 CET/CEST
Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.
The most important financial data at a glance | ||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | ||
Sales1 | 642,14 | 689,56 | 745,52 | 907,30 | 913,79 | 941,13 | 980,00 | |
EBITDA1,2 | 62,35 | 73,48 | 87,05 | 127,20 | 110,62 | 106,54 | 128,00 | |
EBITDA-Margin3 | 9,71 | 10,66 | 11,68 | 14,02 | 12,11 | 11,32 | 13,06 | |
EBIT1,4 | 46,39 | 47,10 | 59,36 | 96,81 | 75,61 | 70,72 | 92,00 | |
EBIT-Margin5 | 7,22 | 6,83 | 7,96 | 10,67 | 8,27 | 7,51 | 9,39 | |
Net Profit (Loss)1 | 34,49 | 36,93 | 43,24 | 62,83 | 48,65 | 44,12 | 60,00 | |
Net-Margin6 | 5,37 | 5,36 | 5,80 | 6,93 | 5,32 | 4,69 | 6,12 | |
Cashflow1,7 | 141,24 | 191,60 | 408,08 | 546,35 | -292,45 | 116,67 | 140,00 | |
Earnings per share8 | 0,32 | 0,34 | 0,40 | 0,57 | 0,47 | 0,44 | 0,61 | |
Dividend per share8 | 0,20 | 0,21 | 0,23 | 0,30 | 0,30 | 0,30 | 0,30 |
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de
Auditor: BDO
All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.
INVESTOR-INFORMATION | ||||||
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MLP | ||||||
WKN | ISIN | Legal Type | Marketcap | IPO | Recommendation | Plus Code |
656990 | DE0006569908 | SE | 654,91 Mio € | 18.07.1990 | Kaufen | 8FXC7MWH+R8 |
PE 2025e | PE 10Y-Ø | BGFL-Ratio | Shiller-PE | PB | PCF | KUV |
10,33 | 16,71 | 0,62 | 16,73 | 1,27 | 5,61 | 0,70 |
Dividend '2022 in € |
Dividend '2023 in € |
Dividend '2024e in € |
Div.-Yield '2024e in % |
0,30 | 0,30 | 0,30 | 5,01% |
Annual General Meeting | Q1-figures | Q2-figures | Q3-figures | Annual press conference |
25.06.2025 | 15.05.2025 | 14.08.2025 | 14.11.2024 | 27.03.2025 |
Distance 60-days-line | Distance 200-days-line | Performance YtD | Performance 52 weeks | IPO |
+0,45% | +2,32% | +8,12% | +14,75% | +275,55% |
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