MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
WKN: 656990
15 November 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: MLP SE (von NuWays AG): Buy

MLP SE · ISIN: DE0006569908 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21331

Original-Research: MLP SE - from NuWays AG

15.11.2024 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to MLP SE

Company Name: MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 15.11.2024
Target price: EUR 12.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch

Q3 in line, guidance at top end or above achievable

Q3 sales increased by 19% yoy to € 245m (eNuW: € 242m; 9M: € 746m, +12% yoy), driven by a € 17m sales effect of performance fees (vs. Q3’23: € 0.1m) but also a solid underlying development (sales ex performance +11% yoy). The competence field Wealth drove sales by 36% yoy to € 140m (eNuW: € 128m; € 123m sales ex performance fees, up 19% yoy), whereas Life & Health sales also increased by 2% yoy to € 68m (eNuW: € 70m) followed by P&C sales of € 35m, up 2% yoy (eNuW: € 35m). Noteworthy, the RE business saw a two-faced development, where RE brokerage rose by 191% yoy and 17% qoq to € 10m (eNuW: € 8m) but RE development remained nonexistent at € 0m sales (eNuW: € 1m).

EBIT expanded sharply by 128% yoy to € 17.8m (eNuW: € 18.2m), benefiting from a € 11m performance fee EBIT contribution (eNuW; c. 65% incremental margin). On the other hand, underlying profitability (EBIT ex perf. fee effect) decreased by 13% yoy due to higher OPEX (+15% yoy).

Guidance confirmed: FY’24 guidance (EBIT: € 85-95m) confirmed: Based on a € 66m EBIT per 9M, the guidance implies a Q4 EBIT in the range of € 19-29m (eNuW: € 28m, not including significant performance fees). This also compares well to previous periods’ EBIT of € 23m (Q4'22, no perf. fees) and € 25m (Q4'23, no perf. fees), which were both burdened by goodwill impairments in the RE segment (€ 3m in Q4'22; € 4m in Q4'23). Consequently, we are positioned at the top end of the guidance (eNuW: € 95m). Moreover, should capital markets continue to perform well until Y/E'24e, performance fees could be in the cards and the guidance could be overachieved. For next year, MLP's midterm targets (EBIT € 100-110m; eNuW: € 102m) will become the FY'25e guidance and new mid-term targets are to be published with FY'24 results in March '25.

Dividend increase after 3 years likely: Based on MLP's targeted pay-out ratio of 50-70% (eNuW: 60%) and EPS estimate of € 0.64, the FY'24e dividend should amount to € 0.36 per share, implying a 20% yoy increase and a current yield of 6%. Mind you, that the dividend is tax free according to § 27 KStG.

All in all, MLP remains fully on track to achieve this and next year's targets this year and should continue to show improvements going forward thanks to its well diversified business model with a large share of recurring revenues. Therefore, we keep MLP in our NuWays' Alpha List and reiterate our BUY recommendation with unchanged PT of € 12.00, based on FCFY'24e.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31331.pdf
For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2030719  15.11.2024 CET/CEST

fncls.ssp?fn=show_t_gif&application_id=2030719&application_name=news&site_id=boersengefluester_html

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 642,14 689,56 745,52 907,30 913,79 941,13 980,00
EBITDA1,2 62,35 73,48 87,05 127,20 110,62 106,54 128,00
EBITDA-Margin3 9,71 10,66 11,68 14,02 12,11 11,32 13,06
EBIT1,4 46,39 47,10 59,36 96,81 75,61 70,72 92,00
EBIT-Margin5 7,22 6,83 7,96 10,67 8,27 7,51 9,39
Net Profit (Loss)1 34,49 36,93 43,24 62,83 48,65 44,12 60,00
Net-Margin6 5,37 5,36 5,80 6,93 5,32 4,69 6,12
Cashflow1,7 141,24 191,60 408,08 546,35 -292,45 116,67 140,00
Earnings per share8 0,32 0,34 0,40 0,57 0,47 0,44 0,61
Dividend per share8 0,20 0,21 0,23 0,30 0,30 0,30 0,30
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: BDO

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
MLP
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
656990 DE0006569908 SE 654,91 Mio € 18.07.1990 Kaufen 8FXC7MWH+R8
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
10,33 16,71 0,62 16,73 1,27 5,61 0,70
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,30 0,30 0,30 5,01%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
25.06.2025 15.05.2025 14.08.2025 14.11.2024 27.03.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+2,39%
5,99 €
ATH 190,00 €
+0,45% +2,32% +8,12% +14,75% +275,55%

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