INDUS Holding AG
ISIN: DE0006200108
WKN: 620010
10 January 2025 09:01AM

Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG (von NuWays AG): Buy

INDUS Holding AG · ISIN: DE0006200108 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21609

Price (EoD) at the time of publication (10.01.2025): n/a | Last price update: €22,40 (30.08.2024)

Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG - from NuWays AG

10.01.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to INDUS Holding AG

Company Name: INDUS Holding AG
ISIN: DE0006200108
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 10.01.2025
Target price: EUR 34.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr

Solid FY25e ahead for INDUS due to reasoned capital allocation

Topic: FY24e was clearly overshadowed by macroeconomic challenges for INDUS, especially in the first quarter. While we do not expect a fast improvement of the economic environment, we also do not see the situation deteriorating further.

Sales are seen growing in the low to mid-single digit % range yoy to € 1,810m (eNuW) as we do not expect the weakness in the first quarter (€ 410m sales in Q1’24 vs. € 451m in Q1’23) to repeat to a comparable extent as in the previous year. In addition, we expect c. € 30m (eNuW) sales growth contribution from acquisitions made in FY24e and the recently announced add-on acquisition of Kettler GmbH (company news 7th January). However, on the other hand order intake remained on a low level with € 1,220m in 9M’24 (-0.8% yoy; book-to-bill 0.95x) leading to a decrease in order backlog to € 678m (vs. € 711m end of FY23). Hence, we do not expect to see significant organic sales increases in FY25e.

We expect the EBIT margin to improve to a solid 8.3% as the product mix in the Engineering segment should be more profitable in FY25e than in H1’24 and we also do not expect further impairments for FY25e (€ 6.7m in FY24).

Nevertheless, we still see the challenges due to a competitive environment and price pressure in the agricultural and construction technology field to persist throughout the year which affects the Materials segment.

Enhanced capital allocation: During the past quarters, we noticed a clear improvement in management’s capital allocation decisions. For instance (1) INDUS used excess cash to acquire strong niche players at multiples of 5.5-6.5 EV/EBIT last year (as stated by the CEO Schmidt) at a time when valuation multiples have come down considerably and other companies hesitated to invest money. At the same time, INDUS was disciplined enough to spend only c. € 35m (eNuW) of its total M&A budget of € 70m in FY24e by focusing on high margin acquisitions with an attractive return on invested capital. This shows us that management also prioritizes value creation above growth.
(2) In addition, INDUS repurchased c. 1.85m shares (6.9% of total shares) at an average price of € 22.45 via two tender offers and a still ongoing open market buyback program. Considering the current undervaluation of the stock, the repurchased shares offer an attractive ROIC as well.

Reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of € 34, based on FCFY’24e.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31609.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2064923  10.01.2025 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 1.742,80 1.558,55 1.741,50 1.804,11 1.802,43 1.721,80 1.820,00
EBITDA1,2 225,71 157,71 220,38 262,43 258,13 226,12 169,50
EBITDA-Margin3 12,95 10,12 12,66 14,55 14,32 13,13 9,31
EBIT1,4 117,90 25,08 115,40 133,67 149,56 126,68 143,00
EBIT-Margin5 6,77 1,61 6,63 7,41 8,30 7,36 7,86
Net Profit (Loss)1 60,07 -26,90 47,56 -51,02 56,11 54,70 62,00
Net-Margin6 3,45 -1,73 2,73 -2,83 3,11 3,18 3,41
Cashflow1,7 147,29 155,19 158,36 116,34 217,66 143,68 169,00
Earnings per share8 2,43 -1,10 1,78 -1,93 2,06 2,07 2,46
Dividend per share8 0,80 0,80 1,05 0,80 1,20 1,20 1,30
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Indus Holding
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
620010 DE0006200108 AG 648,87 Mio € 13.09.1995 Halten 9F29X572+RC
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
9,31 14,02 0,66 14,53 0,97 4,52 0,38
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,80 1,20 1,20 4,77%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
27.05.2025 14.05.2025 12.08.2025 12.11.2025 24.03.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+0,80%
25,15 €
ATH 66,20 €
+6,93% +13,91% +23,89% -2,14% +69,62%

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