Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA (von NuWays AG): BUY
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Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
Title hopes gone for 25/26 season; Chg. Topic: Within four days BVB got knocked out of the 2025/26 UCL campaign and lost a crucial game in the Bundesliga, which should have put all championship hopes aside. In detail: Last Wednesday, BVB went to Bergamo for the second leg of the UCL playoff round. Despite a 2-0 win in the first leg, BVB exited the campaign following a last minute penalty, resulting in a 1-4 away loss. As a result, BVB is missing out on at least € 11m UEFA premium payments as well as sales for at least one additional home game. As the premium payments come at a de facto 100% margin, BVB cut its net income guidance from € -5 to 5m to € -22 to -12m, which in our view also includes a slightly weaker operating performance apart from the UCL exit, given that the round of 16 premium is only € 11m. As the company has mostly been conservative with their outlook, we position ourselves slightly more “optimistic” with our new estimate of € -4.3m. A couple of days after the Bergamo match, BVB hosted Bayern on Saturday for the highlight match in the Bundesliga. Despite a significantly improved on-pitch performance, the team had to suffer a 2-3 defeat, putting them 11 points behind Bayern. A margin that we view as impossible to overcome in the remaining 10 matchdays, especially given Bayern’s exceptional form this season. Although the Bundesliga title does not result in any direct premium payments, it increases prestige thus possibly attracting more attractive sponsoring deals as well as international merchandise sales. Yet, we do not factor this in our estimates, given Bayern’s dominant position. Despite the defeat on Saturday, BVB still has an 8 point cushion to 5th placed Leipzig and a significantly better goal difference, which would be the decisive factor in a possible tie on points. Mind you, a top-4 finish is crucial for BVB as it allows for UCL participation, which is c. 5x as lucrative as the UEFA Europa League. Notably, even 5th place might be sufficient should the German teams be among the top-2 international performers this season (currently 2nd with a minor margin on 3rd). Besides the on-pitch performance, BVB already signed two new young players for the upcoming season. While 18 year old Kauã Prates joins the club for an alleged fee of € 12m from Brazilian side Cruzeiro, Justin Lerma, also 18, will arrived from Ecuadorian club Independiente for c. € 4m. In our view, both signings completely fit into BVB’s Scout & Develop approach, which aims to sign young, talented players for comparably low fees, develop them into top-class players and sell them with strong returns after a couple of seasons. Despite the earlier than planned UCL exit, the team is playing a strong season in the Bundesliga and has a high chance to qualify for the 2026/27 UCL campaign. Reiterate BUY with a new PT of € 5.10 (old: € 5.20) based on DCF. You can download the research here: borussia-dortmund-gmbh-co-kgaa-2026-03-04-update-en-3ed03 For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenkonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befindet sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++
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2285286 04.03.2026 CET/CEST
Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.
| The most important financial data at a glance | ||||||||
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025e | 2026e | ||
| Sales1 | 334,17 | 351,65 | 418,24 | 509,11 | 526,02 | 510,00 | 0,00 | |
| EBITDA1,2 | 38,95 | 80,76 | 123,22 | 150,26 | 115,85 | 130,00 | 0,00 | |
| EBITDA-Margin3 | 11,66 | 22,97 | 29,46 | 29,51 | 22,02 | 25,49 | 0,00 | |
| EBIT1,4 | -72,09 | -29,18 | 16,91 | 45,93 | 10,51 | 22,00 | 0,00 | |
| EBIT-Margin5 | -21,57 | -8,30 | 4,04 | 9,02 | 2,00 | 4,31 | 0,00 | |
| Net Profit (Loss)1 | -72,81 | -35,06 | 9,55 | 44,31 | 6,50 | -15,00 | 0,00 | |
| Net-Margin6 | -21,79 | -9,97 | 2,28 | 8,70 | 1,24 | -2,94 | 0,00 | |
| Cashflow1,7 | 15,95 | 35,07 | 54,43 | 47,20 | 57,71 | 0,00 | 0,00 | |
| Earnings per share8 | -0,79 | -0,33 | 0,09 | 0,40 | 0,06 | -0,14 | 0,23 | |
| Dividend per share8 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,00 | 0,06 | 0,06 | 0,06 | 0,06 | |
1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de
Auditor: Deloitte
All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.
| INVESTOR-INFORMATION | ||||||
| ©boersengefluester.de | ||||||
| Borussia Dortmund | ||||||
| WKN | ISIN | Legal Type | Marketcap | IPO | Recommendation | Plus Code |
| 549309 | DE0005493092 | GmbH & Co. KGaA | 342,23 Mio € | 30.10.2000 | Kaufen | 9F39FFX2+69 |
| PE 2027e | PE 10Y-Ø | BGFL-Ratio | Shiller-PE | PB | PCF | KUV |
| 9,12 | 25,06 | 0,36 | -38,75 | 1,07 | 5,93 | 0,65 |
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Dividend '2023 in € |
Dividend '2024 in € |
Dividend '2025e in € |
Div.-Yield '2025e in % |
| 0,06 | 0,06 | 0,06 | 1,96% |
| Annual General Meeting | Q1-figures | Q2-figures | Q3-figures | Annual press conference |
| 24.11.2025 | 14.11.2025 | 13.02.2026 | 15.05.2026 | 26.09.2025 |
| Distance 60-days-line | Distance 200-days-line | Performance YtD | Performance 52 weeks | IPO |
| -5,11% | -11,88% | -7,27% | -5,26% | -72,18% |
Founded in 2013 by Gereon Kruse, the financial portal boersengefluester.de is all about German shares - with a clear focus on second-line stocks. In addition to traditional editorial articles, the site stands out in particular thanks to a large number of self-developed analysis tools. All tools are based on a completely self-maintained database for more than 650 shares. As a result, boersengefluester.de produces Germany's largest profit and dividend forecast.
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