Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
WKN: 549309
12 May 2025 09:00AM

Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA (von NuWays AG): BUY

Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA · ISIN: DE0005493092 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 22554

Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - from NuWays AG

12.05.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA

Company Name: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 12.05.2025
Target price: EUR 5.20
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Q3 prelims better than expected / CL chances rising; Chg.

BVB released a strong Q3 prelims., showing sales growth of 52% yoy to € 149m (eNuW: € 134m) as well as an EBITDA of € 29.6m (eNuW: € 24.3m; prior year: € -1.8m), implying a strong 19.9% margin.

The strong improvements are largely explained by the increased number of games (Q3 24/25: 18 vs Q3 23/24: 13), resulting in almost a doubling of match operation sales (+90% to € 20.3m) and strongly increased sales from TV marketing (+69% to € 64.5m). While advertising showed comparably steady growth of 14% to € 40.6m, sales from merchandising (+81% to € 9.8m) and conference, catering and others (+59% to € 13.6m) also showed stellar growth driven by the favorable calendar due to the new UCL format (4 more games). Also, the departure of Donyell Malen allowed for increased transfer income (+110% to € 12.6m).

While this also drove personnel expenses (+22% to € 81m), as more games unlock more variable payments to players, BVB benefitted from operating leverage, visible in the disproportionate cost growth. Given stable D&A of € 23.8m, Q3 preliminary EBIT came in at € 5.8m.

Importantly, BVB is now also performing on the pitch. Since a 2-0 loss against direct competitor Leipzig in March, BVB managed to win 6 out of their last 7 Bundesliga matches. Thanks to this streak, BVB jumped from 11th to 5th position and reduced the gap to the crucial top-4 (UCL qualification) from 10 points to only 1. With only one game to go and direct competitors Freiburg (4th) and Frankfurt (3rd) facing each other, we regard BVB’s chances as good to gain a top-4 finish, especially as the team is playing already relegated Kiel at home. Here is what needs to happen for BVB to reach that crucial position.

Option 1: If BVB vs Kiel ends in a draw, Frankfurt must beat Freiburg, and BVB qualifies for UCL.

Option 2: If BVB wins by a margin of 1 goal, they need either a Frankfurt win, a draw or a Freiburg win with a margin of 2+ goals.

Option 3: If BVB wins by a margin of 2+ goals, they are qualified, no matter what happens in Freiburg (only unlikely exception: BVB wins by 2 and Freiburg wins by 1 and scores 4 goals more than BVB)

We hence upgrade BVB’s chances of reaching the UCL to 90% (old: 10%), explaining our raised estimates and reiterate BUY with an unchanged € 5.20 PT based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/32554.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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2134662  12.05.2025 CET/CEST

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 370,20 334,17 351,65 418,24 509,11 526,02 510,00
EBITDA1,2 62,99 38,95 80,76 123,22 150,26 115,85 130,00
EBITDA-Margin3 17,02 11,66 22,97 29,46 29,51 22,02 25,49
EBIT1,4 -43,14 -72,09 -29,18 16,91 45,93 10,51 22,00
EBIT-Margin5 -11,65 -21,57 -8,30 4,04 9,02 2,00 4,31
Net Profit (Loss)1 -43,95 -72,81 -35,06 9,55 44,31 6,50 0,00
Net-Margin6 -11,87 -21,79 -9,97 2,28 8,70 1,24 0,00
Cashflow1,7 -0,36 15,95 35,07 54,43 47,20 57,71 0,00
Earnings per share8 -0,48 -0,79 -0,33 0,09 0,40 0,06 0,20
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,06 0,06 0,06
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Deloitte

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Borussia Dortmund
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
549309 DE0005493092 GmbH & Co. KGaA 367,07 Mio € 30.10.2000 Kaufen 9F39FFX2+69
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
12,31 25,69 0,48 -41,56 1,15 6,36 0,70
Dividends
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024
in €
Dividend '2025e
in €
Div.-Yield '2025e
in %
0,06 0,06 0,06 1,80%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
24.11.2025 14.11.2025 14.02.2025 15.05.2025 26.09.2025
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+0,61%
3,33 €
ATH 10,31 €
-3,76% -5,19% +5,89% +1,06% -69,77%

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