Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
WKN: 549309
31 January 2025 09:01AM

Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA (von NuWays AG): Buy

Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA · ISIN: DE0005493092 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21695

Price (EoD) at the time of publication (31.01.2025): n/a | Last price update: €3,80 (30.08.2024)

Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - from NuWays AG

31.01.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA

Company Name: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 31.01.2025
Target price: EUR 5.50
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Final TV marketing distribution released; New HC incoming

Topic: Following the award of the domestic TV rights in December, where the DFL achieved a 2% increase compared to the previous cycle (click here for update), the Executive Committee of the DFL now unanimously adopted the mechanism for distributing the revenues from the 25/26-28/29 cycle. In detail:

Strengthened central marketing. € 50m of the total additional proceeds of € 80m will be used to finance growth projects that will benefit all clubs by strengthening the centrally marketed rights. Clubs will contribute to this in accordance with their respective share of the distribution key.

Fan and media relevance. Going forward, within the “interest” pillar, national TV ratings and the number of club members will be taken into account. This should ultimately benefit BVB, as the club is 2nd in both club members and TV ratings.

Solidarity. The annual solidarity payments to Bundesliga 2 clubs will increase from € 8.5m to € 10m. In addition, an amount of five million euros per season will be distributed to the Bundesliga clubs that do not play internationally, which will be financed from the DFL's international media revenue. This on the other hand will be slightly negative for BVB, as the club is likely going to play internationally in all seasons of the upcoming cycle.

Talent. The “young talent” pillar will be adjusted to give greater weighting to match appearances of young players trained in Germany. This should benefit BVB, as the club as renowned across Europe for its ability to develop talented, young players.

Overall, the changes to the distribution are only minor, which is why we continue to estimate an average increase in domestic media revenues for BVB of 2% going for the upcoming cycle.

UCL. Last Wednesday, BVB beat Shakhtar Donetsk in the last game of the league phase, which BVB finished in 10th position, meaning the club will play in the play-offs in February. Here, BVB will play against either Sporting Lisbon or Club Brugge (draw today at 12am). Both opponents should be seen as clear underdogs against Dortmund, which is why we continue to expect the club to reach the round of 16, where BVB would play against either Lille or Aston Villa. In our view, either of both teams should be beatable as well, thus providing a certain upside to our current estimate (round of 16).

New head coach. Following Wednesday's match, CSO Lars Ricken confirmed, that Niko Kovac will become new head coach starting on Sunday. Kovac is not a blank slate in the Bundesliga, having coached Eintracht Frankfurt, Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg in the past. During his stints at Franfkurt and Munich, he was able to win two national cups as well as the one championship. In our view, clearly display his potential as a coach during his time in Frankfurt, while his jobs in Croatia, Munich, Monaco and Wolfsburg ended in him being sacked based on lack of success. Yet, especially in his first season with Monaco he had a point average of 2.05 and qualified for the UCL, which also has to be seen as a success. Overall, while Kovac might not seem as a perfect fit at first glance, he had successful periods in the past and has proven his ability to win titles. That being said, he certainly has the tools to exploit the high potential of the squad, which he can already prove in February, when BVB will play a total of six games (4x Bundesliga, 2x UCL).

Reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of € 5.50 based on DCF.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31695.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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2078495  31.01.2025 CET/CEST

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Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025e
Sales1 370,20 334,17 351,65 418,24 509,11 503,00 0,00
EBITDA1,2 62,99 38,95 80,76 123,22 150,26 117,00 0,00
EBITDA-Margin3 17,02 11,66 22,97 29,46 29,51 23,26 0,00
EBIT1,4 -43,14 -72,09 -29,18 16,91 45,93 0,00 0,00
EBIT-Margin5 -11,65 -21,57 -8,30 4,04 9,02 0,00 0,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 -43,95 -72,81 -35,06 9,55 44,31 11,00 0,00
Net-Margin6 -11,87 -21,79 -9,97 2,28 8,70 2,19 0,00
Cashflow1,7 -0,36 15,95 35,07 54,43 47,20 41,00 0,00
Earnings per share8 -0,48 -0,79 -0,33 0,09 0,40 0,12 0,26
Dividend per share8 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,06 0,06 0,06
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Deloitte

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Borussia Dortmund
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
549309 DE0005493092 GmbH & Co. KGaA 352,72 Mio € 30.10.2000 Kaufen 9F39FFX2+69
* * *
PE 2026e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
10,31 25,05 0,41 -39,94 1,10 7,47 0,69
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,06 0,06 1,88%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
25.11.2024 14.11.2024 14.02.2025 15.05.2025 27.09.2024
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
+1,59%
3,20 €
ATH 10,31 €
+1,88% -5,08% +1,75% -13,77% -70,95%

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