Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
WKN: 549309
12 December 2024 09:01AM

Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA (von NuWays AG): Buy

Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA · ISIN: DE0005493092 · EQS - Analysts
Country: Germany · Primary market: Germany · EQS NID: 21533

Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - from NuWays AG

12.12.2024 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.


Classification of NuWays AG to Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA

Company Name: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
 
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 12.12.2024
Target price: EUR 5.50
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Media income to increase // Easy draw for CWC

Media rights. Once again, the German Football League (DFL) managed to surpass the billion-euro per season mark for awarding the German-language media rights for the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. With total revenues of € 4.5bn, it even surpassed the previous award (+2%), which should be seen as a major success, given the results the French league recently achieved. Assuming no change in the distribution model, BVB should hence expect slightly increased sales in national TV marketing over the upcoming cycle (2025-2029).

CWC draw. On 5th December, FIFA drew the groups for the Club World Cup in 2025, which will take place in the US. Here, BVB got very lucky, having been drawn in a group with Brazilian side Fluminense, Korea’s Ulsan HD and Mamelodi Sundowns FC from South Africa. To give you some perspective: With the current market values of the respective squads, Fluminense would rank 15th in the Bundesliga, while Ulsan and Mamelodi Sundowns wouldn’t even be in the Top 4 of Bundesliga 2. BVB’s market value is 3.8x of the combined value of the other teams. Hence, anything other than a group win would be a disappointment, in our view. We thus regard BVB’s chances as high to at least advance into the quarterfinals of the tournament. Yet, as FIFA has not provided the public with information regarding the prize money structure, we do not yet include this in our estimates, especially as the tournament takes place during BVB’s fiscal year transition, thus providing upside to our estimates.

Meanwhile, the team continues to perform well in the UCL this season. Despite last night's defeat against Barcelona, BVB is well positioned to achieve a Top 8 spot, which allows for direct qualification for the round of 16. With 12 points in the book and 2 games to go against Bologna and Donetsk, 4 more points (1 win & 1 draw) would be sufficient in 98% of cases to achieve that spot. In our view, this should be absolutely achievable. Mind you, even 15 points, implying one more win, would be enough in 73% of cases. There’s no place like home. BVB continues to show two faces in the Bundesliga. While the club is leading the home game standings, they are only 16th in the away standings, having scored only 2 points in 6 games thus far. To qualify for next seasons UCL campaign, the team quickly needs to improve performance outside the Signal Iduna Park. Otherwise, our 2025/26e estimates could be at risk.

We hence reiterate BUY with an unchanged € 5.50 PT based on DCF

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31533.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG – Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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2049505  12.12.2024 CET/CEST

fncls.ssp?fn=show_t_gif&application_id=2049505&application_name=news&site_id=boersengefluester~~~ace3d64b-2049-452a-8d18-fbc8044c4b5f

Boersengefluester.de (BGFL) provides an overview of the key figures on sales, earnings, cash flow and dividends to help you better assess the fundamental development of the respective companies. All information is entered manually in our database - the source is the respective annual reports. All estimates for future figures are provided by BGFL.

The most important financial data at a glance
  2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024e
Sales1 489,52 370,20 334,17 351,65 418,24 509,11 503,00
EBITDA1,2 115,98 62,99 38,95 80,76 123,22 150,26 117,00
EBITDA-Margin3 23,69 17,02 11,66 22,97 29,46 29,51 23,26
EBIT1,4 23,50 -43,14 -72,09 -29,18 16,91 45,93 0,00
EBIT-Margin5 4,80 -11,65 -21,57 -8,30 4,04 9,02 0,00
Net Profit (Loss)1 17,39 -43,95 -72,81 -35,06 9,55 44,31 11,00
Net-Margin6 3,55 -11,87 -21,79 -9,97 2,28 8,70 2,19
Cashflow1,7 144,53 -0,36 15,95 35,07 54,43 47,20 41,00
Earnings per share8 0,19 -0,48 -0,79 -0,33 0,09 0,40 0,12
Dividend per share8 0,06 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,06 0,06
Quelle: boersengefluester.de and Company information
Explanation

1 in Mio. Euro; 2 EBITDA = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation; 3 EBITDA in relation to sales; 4 EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes; 5 EBIT in relation to sales; 6 Net profit (-loss) in relation to sales; 7 Cashflow from operations; 8 in Euro; Source: boersengefluester.de

Auditor: Deloitte

All relevant valuation ratios, dates and other investor information on your share at a glance. Good to know: All data comes from boersengefluester.de and is updated daily. This means you are always up to date. You can get brief explanations of the key figures by moving the cursor or mouse over the relevant field.

INVESTOR-INFORMATION
©boersengefluester.de
Borussia Dortmund
WKN ISIN Legal Type Marketcap IPO Recommendation Plus Code
549309 DE0005493092 GmbH & Co. KGaA 343,88 Mio € 30.10.2000 Kaufen 9F39FFX2+69
* * *
PE 2025e PE 10Y-Ø BGFL-Ratio Shiller-PE PB PCF KUV
11,98 25,06 0,48 -38,94 1,07 7,29 0,68
Dividends
Dividend '2022
in €
Dividend '2023
in €
Dividend '2024e
in €
Div.-Yield '2024e
in %
0,00 0,06 0,06 1,93%
Financial calendar
Annual General Meeting Q1-figures Q2-figures Q3-figures Annual press conference
25.11.2024 14.11.2024 14.02.2025 15.05.2025 27.09.2024
Performance
Distance 60-days-line Distance 200-days-line Performance YtD Performance 52 weeks IPO
Last Price (EoD)
-1,27%
3,12 €
ATH 10,31 €
-7,48% -13,28% -13,47% -14,89% -71,68%

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